Dubai house prices continue to rise

In the past year, prices of apartments have spiralled by 38 per cent

Dubai: Dubai’s rising house prices, underpinned by a much-improved economy and strong demand, are likely to continue their uptrend, but no bubble is on the horizon, industry experts said.

After a severe decline in prices and demand during the global recession in 2009, Dubai’s real estate market started to recover in 2011. In the past year, prices of apartments had gone up by 38 per cent. Rents also increased by 20 per cent for flats and 17 per cent for villas.

Analysts have said that the recent price movements have been driven by real demand, as well as by stronger economic fundamentals. Dubai’s economy has been buoyant in recent years, thanks to its expanding logistics, hospitality and retail sectors.

A stronger economy has translated into higher levels of job creation, which in turn triggered further population growth. And with Dubai’s population continuously growing, more people are looking for apartments and villas, causing values to creep up. Affordable lending rates are also enabling investors to buy properties.

“This time around, substantive and meaningful demand from end occupiers taking advantage of attractive mortgage offerings from the banks is helping to drive the market, in addition to the return of investor interest in the market,” Jonathan Fothergill, head of valuations, UAE, at Cluttons.

Faisal Durrani, associate at Cluttons research, said that the upward momentum in housing values look set to continue. “The demand pressures all suggest that an upward creep in capital values will persist,” Durrani told Gulf News earlier.

Improving business confidence is another factor that could lead to higher price increases. “Improving fundamentals and rising prices are feeding through to improved confidence. This could drive prices further up, with prices and investment feeding off of each other,” Standard Chartered said in its recent report.

A recent Business Confidence Survey led by the Department of Economic Development (DED) showed that more than half of businesses (55 per cent) were upbeat about achieving higher sale revenues in the second quarter of the year.

About 30 per cent also anticipated stable sales, while 55 per cent said they were willing to invest during the next several months. Almost all businesses included in the survey (98 per cent) had intentions of either increasing (23 per cent) or maintaining (75 per cent) their payroll count.

Standard Chartered also said that Expo 2020, which is expected to create 277,000 jobs, will help sustain the housing market. However, the bank maintained that despite the rising prices, “there are no serious indications of a speculative bubble” in the real estate market.

“The market seems to be driven by fundamentals rather than excess speculation, in contrast to what the market went through in 2008. The outlook of the market will, therefore, depend on how these fundamentals evolve over time,” the report said.

Non-premium areas benefit

The continued upward trend in housing rent has led many tenants to move out of premium locations, causing non-premium areas to benefit from a surge in demand.

As demand for affordable accommodations increases, areas like International City and the Springs have witnessed noticeable increases in rent, according to a Standard Chartered report.

International City topped all other areas with an increase in average rental rate of 27 per cent year-on-year and 11 per cent quarter-on-quarter.

“Similarly, the top-performing area in the villa leasing markets is the Springs, with an increase in the average rental rate of 35 per cent (year-on-year) and 10 per cent (quarter-on-quarter),” the report said.

In the residential-sale market, the top performers are the Greens, posting a 44 per year-on-year increase in apartment sales and Jumeirah Village, with a 40 per cent increase in villa sales year-on-year.

Source: gulfnews

Developers get back into sales mode

Even specialist funds could become active in a more regulated market

Dubai: With the demand-supply gap deemed manageable, developers are firming up their plans to keep the property pipeline in constant motion over the mid-term.

Sheffield Holdings plans to release units at its Dh1.2 billion mixed-use Marina 101 high-rise in Dubai Marina at Cityscape next month. (A hotel operator has been named for the hospitality component, which makes up 35 per cent of the overall.)

“Clearly it will be a case of trying to encash on the market sentiments which are uniformly favourable at this moment,” said Abu Ali Malek Shroff, CEO at the developer. “There are units which we have not sold at the project and some of the existing owners might try to take advantage of the premiums available. It is a case of both developers and investors trying to make full use of the circumstances.”

According to him, the downturn of 2009 cannot all be coloured in black where local real estate is concerned. Marina 101 was one among the many projects announced during the peak years between 2005 to 2008, But unlike many, this one did then go on past the finish line.

 “For the developer with projects on the ground there were savings to be made during the recession by renegotiating contractual terms with contractors and suppliers,” said Shroff. “These saving helped mitigate some of the cost overruns brought on by project delays.”

Going forward, expect specialist funds to get active in the marketplace if the upward trajectory is maintained and yields are conducive. This will be the cue for real estate investment trusts to step forward.

“Reits have gained momentum since the crash; there was only 1 GCC Reit in operation and now we have at least three that I can think of,” said Robin Teh of Chesterton International. “Reits give common folks a chance to invest in and own buildings and is a good way to increase market transparency and competition.

“The market I believe can now take Reits especially if there is a specific law that is passed to regulate this.”

Source: gulfnews

UAE realty learns lessons from Lehman

Regulatory regime has been entirely recast to push through investor rights

Dubai: UAE’s property market has every reason to blame Lehman Brothers for the freefall it went through in 2009 and the on-edge nature of its existence in 2010. No other sector in the local economy had to bear the direct — and immediate — consequences of the investment bank’s failure which set off the chain of events that culminated in the Great Recession.

Foreign investors who had huffed and puffed local property levels to stratospheric levels between 2005 and September 2008 made a beeline for the exit doors. Developers who it seemed were there just to announce a new project every other week found they were staring at a vacant marketplace. Genuine investors who came on board the realty show in the hope of staying for the long term found that the promise of prestige projects with celebrity neighbours was about to become a living nightmare.

For sure, UAE’s property market — and its then stakeholders — can blame it on Lehman. But a full five years down the line, it has a lot to be thankful for as well.

Maturity

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For what the fallout did was rush the UAE’s realty — and particularly Dubai’s — to a certain maturity, a status that would have taken a lot more years to achieve if the Lehman Brothers closure — or the Great Recession — had never happened.

Sure, there are those who believe that a massive correction on the lines of what the market saw in 2009-10 would still have been triggered by some spark or the other. There was no way the property values then could have been sustained for much longer.

“One effect of the financial crisis is to have accelerated the maturation rate markedly and things have definitely changed for the better,” said Mohanad Al Wadiya, managing director of Harbor Real Estate. “While speculation still does exist, the market is now comprised of a greater proportion of wary and astute buyers who are more adept at making decisions based on market fundamentals and investment logic.

“Meanwhile, those developers who survived the recession have learnt that realistic planning and demand estimation is paramount to long term profitable growth. The industry, while improving, is still showing the effects of poor planning.”

Regulatory framework

That is why the authorities are constantly at the back of developers to get their games in order, more so as transaction levels that spiked following the Arab Spring have now settled to market-sustainable levels. Attaining maturity requires that the property has a certain depth in terms of project offerings and, just as important, got the regulatory framework to go with it.

And, where possible, regulations are being put in place that would even out the playing field for investors and developers alike, which includes a recent decree by Dubai that allows investors a chance to recover funds stuck in projects that never materialised.

This in itself is a seismic change from the situation in the pre-crisis era, when the deck was heavily loaded in favour of developers and where a sales and purchase agreement was but an instrument for investors to part with their monies and no questions could be asked.

“The spate of new rulings has made it easier for valuations to be more transparent,” said Robin Teh, country manager at the property firm Chesterton. “However, until a formal Valuation Law is passed which states the do’s and don’ts and having only regulated and qualified valuation companies to practice here, this market is still a challenge in transparency.”

Precedents

As for the liquidation of defunct projects and subsequent fund recoveries, Teh added: “There are definitely precedents in other markets especially mature ones like the UK, US and Singapore to follow. There is no ideal way as each country has its own culture and bureaucracies to deal with. However, it is something that Dubai must implement and amend and improve as the market changes. I would always say that having something is better than nothing at all.”

The fact that Dubai decided to go ahead with the project liquidation move now is noteworthy. It came at a time when not many were expecting it. Plus, the market was on the upside and upscale project launches were again becoming a feature of the landscape. It would have been easy to ride on the current momentum and not let the past be a distraction.

But that Dubai issued such a decree which has investor rights at its core should be duly noted. Clearly, it is on the regulatory side that the most transparent changes are being effected within the property market. Here too a link — tenuous or direct — can be drawn between the Lehman collapse and how authorities — here and elsewhere — are trying to protect the rights of investors in their exposures to varying asset classes.

Confidence

Specific to the UAE property market, tighter regulations have been in sync with efforts to make it easier to come in — and exit — a property investment. “Regulation is improving all the time with investor protection laws and bodies being created, thereby instilling more confidence in the market and the longer term benefits are becoming more apparent,” said Helen Tatham, head of UAE residential at Knight Frank.

“The market is rising and has risen over the last 12 months to the extent that, in the majority of cases, an investor can claw back his original investment at the very least. The process of exit is simple and inexpensive compared to other countries… at this point in time it is fairly straightforward.”

The “For Sale” signs are back on and have been ever since the Arab Spring set off a trail of uncertainty in its wake. In such an environment the UAE offered certain sureties and its real estate sector was able to take full advantage.

But the marketplace does not want to see a return of speculators. Barriers are being erected that would lessen their impact.

Transaction fee

“The imposition of a sales transaction fee based on a time-dependent sliding scale should have the desired effect,” said Al Wadiya. “The transaction fee would work so that it is much more expensive for a seller to sell a property within one year [perhaps with a fee imposed by the Dubai Land Department of 15 per cent of the selling price] versus a property sold after five years [perhaps with a fee of 2 per cent of the selling price].

“This type of mechanism has been introduced in markets such as Hong Kong, Singapore and Thailand to discourage the “flipping” of properties.”

Thus, from a wider angle, the Lehman Brothers legacy has been one of positives for the UAE’s property market. Lessons were learnt so that the future investors need not be taken in by empty sales pitches from developers or estate agents. Contract clauses have to be followed by all stakeholders.

Lehman Brothers has done its part.

 

Source: http://gulfnews.com/business/property/uae/developers-get-back-into-sales-mode-1.1228680

Service charges do influence buying decisions

Owners associations have to engage in a tightrope act to keep rates steady

Dubai: Can local service charges keep staving off the inflationary pressure that has caught up with just about every other facet of the property market?

“Service charges have started playing an important role in the decision making process for end-users, which is why moving forward with the buildings getting older, the charge will be questioned if increases do not match the services,” said Niraj Masand, director at Banke International. “Many buyers could opt out of certain buildings due to the service charges.

“It could be the recessionary trends of the last three to four years that had service charges remain steady or in some cases even dropped. However, moving forward, due to increasing costs it is expected that service charges will increase.”

It is also for the future to tell what the presence of newly launched developments will have on the service charge regime. Will the new projects come in at a much higher tariff than the existing ones? If yes, can service charges at existing buildings remain impervious?

Only time will tell.

Source: gulfnews

Property service charges stave off inflationary pressures

Dubai: The UAE’s property market is feeling the bounce – home prices are on the up and up and rental gains are getting sharper with each quarter. Home financing companies are clocking steady growth in disbursals, which attests to the fact that market is gaining depth.

So, while all the key fundamentals are pointing upwards, there is still one key indicator that is holding steady or has actually taken a dip – service charges. So much so, the setting of service charges – and collecting on them – has become less of a point of friction between property management companies and homeowners.

What explains this seeming anomaly? The answer is obvious – owners associations are now taking complete control over the process from developers and their nominated facilities management companies.

“The fundamentals of ‘owners association management’ are now in place with most freehold communities having understood the basics,” said P. R. Vijayakumar, managing director at Pacific Owners Association Management Services. “The fact that owners themselves control the management of buildings and decide their own service charges has been accepted by the communities.

“Many homeowners in Dubai have taken control of their properties and with Rera (Real Estate Regulatory Agency) registration of owner associations about to happen, it will enable them to take full financial control as well. This will end an era where developers controlled freehold properties.”

While owner associations have assumed control, another factor has been in play in keeping property and service charges from spiking. An “explosion” in new facilities management companies has taken place and all aiming for a share of a pie that is growing bigger but not at the cost of higher end-user tariffs. The majority of these contracts are for a year, with provisions for extensions. It is another way to ensure service providers stay true to agreed rate cards.

“Most freehold communities in Dubai have formed owners associations or on the verge of doing so,” said Iona Stanley, who is on the board of directors of an owners association at a high-rise in Jumeirah Lakes Towers. “By its very nature, this process leads to less dependence on the developer, and in the case of unpleasant relations, a cutting of the strings.

“For instance, in a freehold building with an active OA [owners’ association] , it is this elected body of homeowners that is now in charge of its finances, facilities, safety and upkeep – portfolios hitherto controlled by the developer. “The transition period may be long and fraught – in our case it exceeded a year. We recently changed our facilities management, security and lift maintenance contracts after a tendering, and more importantly, we now operate our own bank account.

“When a freehold property forms an OA and hires the services of an owners association management services firm, it is assumed service charges will be lowered, or at the very least stay the same as what the developer charged. This is achieved by studying all the suppliers and services contracted by the developer, and renegotiating them or seeking suitable alternatives. There are of course, unpredictable factors like district cooling, water and electricity, and master community fees and any hike in these bills will reflect automatically on the service fees.”

Saying service charges have been stable is not the same as saying that they do not face inflationary pressures. In recent years, the cost of utility has been on the rise. “The average utility cost across all buildings in Dubai is about 37 per cent of the total service charges,” said Vijayakumar. “In addition there is is the ‘master community charge’ and unlike in the past the Reserve Fund collection has become mandatory.

“These three account for more than 50 per cent for the service charge and risen directly due to inflation. It is true that other measures deployed like energy conservation, maximization of manpower utilisation and increasing service charge collections have helped keep service charges stable.”

Source: gulfnews

GCC Governments lead the way in construction

Government-led social infrastructure projects will drive growth in the construction sector over the next decade

Government-led initiatives will drive growth in the GCC construction sector over the next decade as regional governments continue to focus on social infrastructure projects, experts say.

There will be an estimated Dh3.3 trillion of construction developments underway across the GCC between now and 2020 according to a statement by UAE-based building material company Danube released this week.

The statement cites a report by Kuwait Financial Centre (Markaz).

Real estate projects account for an estimated Dh1.89 trillion of the current developments across the GCC, Danube stated.

Andrew Jeffrey, Director, Infrastructure & Capital Investments at Deloitte Middle East, said demand for housing, road, and rail projects would drive the construction sector.

“There are significant projects like the nuclear programme in Abu Dhabi and the RTA in Dubai is expanding, which is helping provide access to some developments in residential areas,” Jeffrey said.

Jeffrey said that Dubai would follow through with fundamental initiatives as the emirate positioned itself as the premier employ and financial hub in the Middle East.

Jeffrey said public sectors in Abu Dhabi and Dubai would invest in health and education as the two emirates cement themselves as major players.

 

Financial crisis

Dubai-based Craig Plumb, Head of Research MENA, at Jones Lang Lasalle said the construction industry had been picking up since several pre-financial crisis projects had restarted.

Plumb said a lot of activity shifted to Saudi Arabia and Qatar following the financial crisis but had returned to the UAE. Plumb added that the UAE had become cautious of oversupply in the market and said that projects would be phased out over longer periods.

Mohammad Bin Rashid City, Bluewater Island by Merass holding, major retail extensions at Ibn Battuta and Dragon Mart, the Louvre, and Yas Mall in Abu Dhabi, were listed by Plumb as signs of sustainable for the construction sector.

Jeffrey said developments by the Abu Dhabi and Dubai government were only beginning and would be fuelled by a more sustainable approach when compared to pre-financial crisis outlook.

The UAE has benefited from the Arab Spring, Jeffrey added, which has highlighted the UAE as a good place for investment.

Jeffrey said social infrastructure initiatives in Qatar led by Qatari Public Works Authority ‘Ashgal’ would add to industry growth.

Ashgal, who are responsible for the construction and management of major projects in Qatar, have projects in the pipeline valued in excess of 100 billion Qatari according to their website.

Jeffrey added the construction sector in Saudi Arabia would maintain growth due to demand for housing, education and healthcare in the kingdom.

Asked whether significant growth was dependent on headlining grabbing events Dubai Expo 2020 and Doha World Cup 2022, both Jeffrey and Plumb said they would not be a catalyst.

“It’s the legacy of the event that’s important,” Plumb said, add that these events were bringing forward developments such as Dubai World Central Airport and the Metro expansion.

On the notion of foreign intervention in Syria, Jeffrey and Plumb agreed there would be no impact.

The UAE would still build a nuclear programme and capital project infrastructure would not be impacted but the perception of independent investors could be hampered by conflict in the Gulf, Jeffrey said.

Coline Schep, Associate Analyst at Control Risks in Dubai, an independent specialist risk consultancy, said there was no indication so far that projects would be stalled if there was intervention in Syria.

Schep said at present speculation of intervention was the biggest risk as it impacted investor confidence.

“If conflict was to break out involving the US then certain companies would become more cautious,” she said.

 

Source: http://gulfnews.com/business/construction/gcc-governments-lead-the-way-in-construction-1.1227044

UAE built asset wealth $1 trillion

The UAE’s built asset wealth is expected to increase by 7 per cent to $1.69 trillion over the next 10 days

Dubai:The UAE’s $1 trillion of built asset wealth is expected to increase by as much as 7 per cent to $1.69 trillion over the next decade, according to property and infrastructure consultants EC Harris.

The Global Built Asset Wealth Index, released on Monday by EC Harris, said UAE citizen enjoy some of the highest levels of built asset wealth. The alternative economic indicator valued private and public property. including infrastructure of 30 different countries against each other. The UAE ranked 25th overall and is expected to jump two positions by 2022 as its built wealth asset increases to $1.69 trillion. The UAE will be joined by Singapore and Brazil as the expected highest climbers over the next 10 years.

Source: http://gulfnews.com/business/economy/uae-built-asset-wealth-1-trillion-1.1226628

برنامج تدريبي عن إدارة العقارات بالغرفة

اختتمت أمس فعاليات البرنامج التدريبي حول إدارة العقارات الذي نظمته لجنة التطوير العقاري بالغرفة بالتعاون مع معهد دبي العقاري التابع لدائرة الأراضي والأملاك بدبي خلال الفترة من التاسع والعشرين وحتى الثلاثين من سبتمبر الجاري
وأشار شهاب بن يوسف بن علوي رئيس لجنة التطوير العقاري بغرفة تجارة وصناعة عمان الى أن هذا البرنامج يأتي كجزء من أنشطة وفعاليات عدة تعدها وتقوم عليها لجنة تطوير القطاع العقاري بالغرفة كون قطاع العقارات قطاعا واسعا ويشهد تطورات ملحوظة مضيفا بأن البرنامج يهدف إلى إبراز أهمية الاستثمارات المدرة للدخل، والتعريف بمفهوم إدارة العقارات، وتطوير فهم مفصل وكامل لعملية إدارتها، إضافة إلى المهام الدورية لإدارة العقارات، والعوامل المساندة لإداراتها، كما تطرق البرنامج إلى عوامل التسويق للعقار والمشاكل التي قد يواجهها ملاك ومديرو العقارات وطرق تجنبها أو حلها واوضح بأن البرنامج وفر ملخصا شاملا للعوامل الأساسية لمهنة إدارة العقارات، وقدم نصائح وأدوات عملية ونظرية من شأنها المساعدة في زيادة عوائد الإيجار، وتقليل المخاطر والأضرار المتعلقة بإدارة العقارات. يستهدف البرنامج فئة المسؤولين عن توفير وظائف في مجال إدارة العقارات، أو الذين يتطلعون ليصبحوا ملاك عقارات مدرة للدخل مستقبلاً
وحول البرنامج عبر المدرب مهند الوادية عن سعادته بالمشاركة، مشيراً إلى أن البرنامج أقيم سابقاً في عدة دول إلا أن عوامل عدة ساهمت في جعله مختلفا هذه المرة، منها على سبيل المثال التنظيم الجيد والحرفي للبرنامج من قبل غرفة تجارة وصناعة عمان، إضافة إلى الحضور الواعي والمدرك لواقع القطاع العقاري والذي أثرى البرنامج بالمشاركات المنطقية التي تنم عن وعي ورغبة في التعلم والاستفادة من تجارب الآخرين
أما فيما يخص القوانين المنظمة للقطاع العقاري بالسلطنة فيرى الوادية أنها مشابهة جداً للقوانين المعمول بها في دول الجوار ،مضيفا إلى أن مجال التحسين موجود دائما طالما هنالك رغبة من صناع القرار في تطوير البنية الاساسية المساندة لمجال إدارة العقارات. وأشار المدرب مهند الوادية إلى أنه وبالنيابة عن معهد دبي العقاري يطمح أن يكون البرنامج بداية شراكة استراتيجية طويلة الأمد مع غرفة تجارة وصناعة عمان

لجنة التطوير العقاري بالغرفة تنظم برنامجا تدريبيا حول إدارة العقارات

أقامت غرفة تجارة وصناعة عمان ممثلة بلجنة التطوير العقاري برنامجا تدريبيا تحت عنوان “برنامج تدريب إدارة العقارات” وذلك بحضور شهاب بن يوسف بن علوي رئيس لجنة التطوير العقاري بالغرفة وعدد من أعضاء مجلس الإدارة، ورجال الأعمال والمهتمين بقطاع العقار بالسلطنة
يوفر البرنامج ملخصا شاملا للعوامل الأساسية لمهنة إدارة العقارات، ويقدم نصائح وأدوات عملية ونظرية من شأنها المساعدة في زيادة عوائد الإيجار، وتقليل المخاطر والأضرار المتعلقة بإدارة العقارات. يستهدف البرنامج فئة المسؤولين عن توفير وظائف في مجال إدارة العقارات، أو الذين يتطلعون ليصبحوا ملاك عقارات مدرة للدخل مستقبلايهدف البرنامج إلى ابراز أهمية الاستثمارات المدرة للدخل، والتعريف بمفهوم إدارة العقارات، وتطوير فهم مفصل وكامل لعملية إدارتها، إضافة إلى المهام الدورية لإدارة العقارات، والعوامل المساندة لإداراتها، كما تطرق البرنامج إلى عوامل التسويق للعقار والمشاكل التي قد يواجهها ملاك ومديرو العقارات وطرق تجنبها أو حلها
يقدم البرنامج المدرب مهند الودية من معهد دبي العقاري التابع لدائرة الأراضي والأملاك بدبي ويستمر لمدة يومين متواليين بمبنى الغرفة الرئيسي بروي، يذكر أن هذا البرنامج يأتي كجزء من أنشطة وفعاليات عدة تعدها وتقوم عليها لجنة تطوير القطاع العقاري بالغرفة

Tired of managing your properties?

There are many happy real estate investors around at the moment. The past 24 months have rewarded many brave, fortunate, astute or lucky investors for making the decision to place their hard- earned money into Dubai property and we congratulate them, for they are integral to the engine of our industry.

Now, it is most important that these investors do not lose focus on managing their assets as some will no doubt be lulled into complacency on the back of stellar returns. Investing in property is never a “set and forget” proposition, and realizing the true earning potential of your property assets requires careful management.

Investing in property has a very simple purpose -to create wealth. However, your property investment portfolio needs to be nurtured, maintained and managed to ensure its wealth-creating potential and capabilities are achieved. This, of course, is no different to managing a share portfolio, business venture or any other type of investment. Complacency will lead to underperformance and maybe even losses.

Not everybody has the time or is comfortable with managing property. However, there is expertise available to help you, and you should consider engaging a good property manager who will ensure that you maximize returns from your property portfolio and enable your long- term portfolio strategy to be realized.

Formulating a good property investment portfolio strategy requires years of experience and expertise, and will consider history, current market factors, forecasts, opportunities, trends, risk factors, and the likelihood of relevant future events, whether they be economic, political, regulatory or financial in nature.

Delivering the strategy (and your eagerly awaited returns) will require an activity plan addressing pricing and marketing, resourcing, customer relationship management, tenant management and policy, cost management, maintenance supervision, communications and review schedules, status reporting and financial statements. This should be the minimum that you expect.

Think of your investment as your business. Proper management is essential and you need to ensure it’s in good hands providing you with the returns you expect with as little hassle as possible.